The Blank Swan: The End of Probability. Elie Ayache

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability


The.Blank.Swan.The.End.of.Probability.pdf
ISBN: 9780470725221 | 496 pages | 13 Mb


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The Blank Swan: The End of Probability Elie Ayache
Publisher: Wiley



Mar 14, 2009 - Nassim Taleb is a former trader who wrote a textbook on option and market making, and then became more philosophical in his best seller Fooled by Randomness, and now in The Black Swan. Once upon a time I knew a "Black Swan". Being personally concerned, we decline to comment. They have negligible knowledge of molecular biology, plant breeding and genetic engineering. In the end, the authors have clearly demonstrated that they do not care about biology, medicine or rational risk analysis. May 4, 2014 - One of the authors is statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who has previously written books such as The Black Swan on the impact of low-probability events. The third is retrospective The question we need to ask is do these individuals love the people so much that they cannot think of seeing them perish in hell, which is often quoted as the end place for non-believers? One of our readers sent this prediction for our “Black Swan beauty contest”. Jan 17, 2013 - The second characteristic of a Black Swan event is the consequences of its occurrence, like the financial crisis which Risks Analysts with all the available tools of probability and systems engineering failed to predict. Thu, 06/16/2011 - 04:50 | Link to Comment falak pema · falak pema's picture. Jun 30, 2010 - This review is from: The Blank Swan: The End of Probability (Hardcover). I am relieved to finally find a book that deals with Black Swan Events in a new way. Bottom line: not a report of the intellectual Thu, 06/16/2011 - 00:07 | Link to Comment Yen Cross · Yen Cross's picture. Jun 16, 2011 - Additionally, SocGen also provides a risk map with a black/white swan distribution curve, which identifies the biggest growth outlook downside and upside risks. The other two authors are physicist Yaneer Bar-Yam, and politician-philosopher Rupert Read. May 1, 2011 - The Blank Swan: The End of Probability By Elie Ayache Wiley, 2010 $39.95, 476 pages. Jan 21, 2010 - How do you end up with high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations? Elie Ayache's book, "The Blank Swan," has been hailed by one reviewer as "a joke…written in pseudo-philosophical jargon.

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